Our seasonal climate outlooks provide air temperature, rainfall, soil moisture and river flow predictions for the coming season.
Watch Chris Brandolino, NIWA Principal Scientist - Forecasting, explain how our seasonal climate outlooks can help your business succeed and how our seasonal climate outlooks can be interpreted.
Related information:
- Sea Surface Temperature Update
- Forecasting climate (PDF 78 KB)
- More on probabilities (PDF 12 KB)
- Southern Annular Mode
- El Niño Southern Oscillation
- What's average in my region?
Explore our Drought Forecasting Dashboard below or pop out to full screen
Issues
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Seasonal Climate Outlook: January 2014 - March 2014
The equatorial Pacific Ocean continued in a neutral state (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in December 2013. -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: December 2013 - February 2014
The equatorial Pacific Ocean continues in a neutral state (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in November 2013. -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: November 2013 - January 2014
The equatorial Pacific Ocean continues in a neutral state (neither El Niño nor La Niña). -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: October - December 2013
Near or above average temperatures are expected to continue across the country for the coming three months. -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: September - November 2013
After a very warm winter, the coming spring is likely to have near or above average temperatures across the country. -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: August - October 2013
A warm early spring on the cards -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: July - September 2013
Mild conditions likely to continue over late winter. -
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Seasonal Climate Outlook: February - April 2013
Return to near normal over the coming season. -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: January - March 2013
Wetter in west and drier in east likely to continue. -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: December 2012 - February 2013
Normal to dry summer for the north & east of North Island. -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: November 2012 - January 2013
Normal to dry early summer for North Island, Nelson and Marlborough. -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: October - December 2012
Borderline or weak El Niño forecast for late spring -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: September - November 2012
Weak El Niño forecast for spring and summer. -
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Seasonal Climate Outlook: July - September 2012
Drier late winter likely for some. -
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Seasonal Climate Outlook: May - July 2012
La Niña over, and a mild start to winter for New Zealand. -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: April - June 2012
La Niña ending, but easterly circulation regime to persist. -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: March - May 2012
La Niña gone by Easter; somewhat stormy Tasman Sea. -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: February - April 2012
La Niña set to fade with a near-normal lead-in to autumn.