Forecast validation: June to August 2005
Enhanced convection and above average rainfall was expected over Eastern Kiribati, with near or above average rainfall forecast for Western Kiribati and Tuvalu. Suppressed convection with average or below average rainfall was expected over the Marquesas Islands and Fiji. Near average rainfall was expected elsewhere in the region.
Areas of above average rainfall occurred from Tonga east to Southern French Polynesia. Rainfall was below average in the Wallis and Futuna Islands, the Northern Cook Islands, the Society Islands, and the Marquesas Islands.
Rainfall was higher than expected in Tonga, Niue, and American Samoa. Rainfall was lower than expected in the Wallis and Futuna Islands, Tokelau, Eastern Kiribati, and the Society Islands. Rainfall was near average elsewhere. The overall 'hit' rate for the June-August 2005 rainfall outlook was about 50%.