Island Climate Update 185 - February 2016
10 February 2016
The ensemble of global climate models for rainfall that are used in METPI show an area of higher than normal rainfall associated with the SPCZ position.
The dynamical models are in agreement to forecast continuing El Niño conditions for the February – April 2016 period.
Based on rainfall anomaly classification over the past six months and forecast rainfall anomaly classification over the next 3 months.