ICU Water Watch

Based on rainfall anomaly classification over the past six months and forecast rainfall anomaly classification over the next 3 months.

Vanuatu, Papua New Guinea : Below to well below normal rainfall experienced over 5 of the past 6 months. Below normal rainfall is forecast over the next 3 months for Vanuatu while no clear guidance was available for Papua New Guinea.

Fiji, Tonga, Southern Cook Islands: Below to well below normal rainfall experienced over 4 of the past 6 months with below normal rainfall forecast over the next 3 months.

Federated States of Micronesia: Below to well below normal rainfall experienced from October-December with below normal rainfall forecast over the next 3 months.

New Caledonia: Below to well below normal rainfall experienced over 4 of the past 6 months with normal or below normal rainfall forecast over the next 3 months.

IMPORTANT NOTE

This advisory is prepared from the Island Climate Update bulletin produced by NIWA in association with the Pacific Island Meteorological Services and other supporting meteorological organisations. It is made possible with financial support from the New Zealand Ministry for Foreign Affairs and Trade Aid Programme, with additional support from the Secretariat for the Pacific Regional Environmental Programme (SPREP).

January-March 2016 rainfall forecast.
Regional drought potential advisory. Based on rainfall anomaly classification over the past six months and forecast rainfall anomaly classification over the next 3 months.