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Seasonal Climate Outlook

Air temperature, rainfall, soil moisture and river flow predictions for the coming season. See these Forecasting Climate and More on Probabilities links for background information on climate outlooks and their interpretation. See this Baseline Tables link for historical rainfall and temperature data ranges for several locations within each climate outlook region.

Seasonal Climate Outlook: September - November 2010

A mild La Niña spring on the way

Seasonal Climate Outlook: August - October 2010

La Niña conditions for the rest of 2010

Seasonal Climate Outlook: July - September 2010

La Niña on the way - mild conditions likely

Seasonal Climate Outlook: June - August 2010

Mild conditions likely to continue through winter

Seasonal Climate Outlook: May - July 2010

A mild start to winter, and the end of the El Niño

Seasonal Climate Outlook: March - May 2010

El Niño to exit by the end of Autumn

Seasonal Climate Outlook: February - April 2010

A cool end to summer, and continuing drier than normal in the north

Seasonal Climate Outlook: January - March 2010

Late summer – more of the same

Seasonal Climate Outlook: December 2009 – February 2010

El Niño strengthens, with conditions likely to be cooler in south and drier in northeast

Seasonal Climate Outlook November - January 2010

Moderate El Niño conditions, but muted influence on New Zealand in the coming season

Seasonal Climate Outlook October - December 2009

Weak El Niño not likely to greatly influence New Zealand rainfall in the coming season.

Seasonal Climate Outlook September - November 2009

A windy spring ahead with drier than normal conditions in many regions.

Seasonal Climate Outlook July - September 2009

A wet end to winter, with near average temperatures in most regions.

Seasonal Climate Outlook June - August 2009

A cold June expected, but a near-normal winter as a whole in most regions.

Seasonal Climate Outlook: May - July 2009

La Niña over, with a near-normal winter on the way.