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Seasonal Climate Outlook

Air temperature, rainfall, soil moisture and river flow predictions for the coming season. See these Forecasting Climate and More on Probabilities links for background information on climate outlooks and their interpretation.

Seasonal Climate Outlook: February - April 2010

A cool end to summer, and continuing drier than normal in the north

Seasonal Climate Outlook: January - March 2010

Late summer – more of the same

Seasonal Climate Outlook: December 2009 – February 2010

El Niño strengthens, with conditions likely to be cooler in south and drier in northeast

Seasonal Climate Outlook November - January 2010

Moderate El Niño conditions, but muted influence on New Zealand in the coming season

Seasonal Climate Outlook October - December 2009

Weak El Niño not likely to greatly influence New Zealand rainfall in the coming season.

Seasonal Climate Outlook September - November 2009

A windy spring ahead with drier than normal conditions in many regions.

Seasonal Climate Outlook July - September 2009

A wet end to winter, with near average temperatures in most regions.

Seasonal Climate Outlook June - August 2009

A cold June expected, but a near-normal winter as a whole in most regions.

Seasonal Climate Outlook: May - July 2009

La Niña over, with a near-normal winter on the way.