Outlook – October to December 2015
October – December 2015 temperatures are about equally likely to be near average (40% chance) or below average (40-45% chance) for all regions of New Zealand.
Cold snaps and frosts can still be expected from time to time in spring in some parts of the country.
October – December 2015 rainfall is about equally likely to be in the near normal (40% chance) or below normal (40-45% chance) ranges in the north and east of the North Island, and about equally likely to be in the near normal (35% chance) or below normal (40% chance) ranges in the north of the South Island. Near normal rainfall is the most likely outcome (45% chance) for the west of the North Island. Seasonal rainfall in the west of the South Island is about equally likely to be in the near normal (40% chance) or above normal (35% chance) ranges.
October – December 2015 soil moisture levels are most likely to be near normal (40% chance) or below normal (35% chance) in the north and east of North Island. In the east of the South Island, soil moisture levels are equally likely to be near normal (40% chance) or below normal (40% chance). In the western regions of both Islands as well as the north of the South Island, soil moisture levels are most likely to be in the near normal range (40 or 45% chance).
October – December 2015 river flows are most likely to be in the near normal range (45% chance) for all of the North Island as well as west of the South Island. River flows are about equally likely to be in the near normal (40% chance) or below normal (40-45% chance) ranges for the north and east of the South Island.
