Global Setting – May 2012
8 June 2012
Neutral ENSO conditions presently exist in the tropical Pacific, but there is a likelihood of El Niño developing by spring. For winter, higher than normal mean sea level pressures are expected to the south of New Zealand (but with a weak circulation anomaly over the country itself).
Sea surface temperatures
Sea temperatures around New Zealand are likely to be slightly above normal for the season as a whole.