Outlook - April to June 2011

During April-June, mean sea level pressures are likely to be below normal to the north of New Zealand and above normal to the east and south of the country, with weaker westerlies across New Zealand. Temperatures are likely to be average or above average in the east of the South Island, and above average in all other regions. Seasonal rainfall is likely to be normal or above normal in the north and east of the North Island, normal or below normal in the east of the South Island, and near normal elsewhere.

Temperatures are likely to be average or above average in the east of the South Island, and above average in all other regions.

Seasonal rainfall is likely to be normal or above normal in the north and east of the North Island, normal or below normal in the east of the South Island, and near normal elsewhere.

Soil moisture levels are likely to be normal or above normal in the north and east of the North Island, normal or below normal in the east of the South Island, and near normal elsewhere. River flows are likely to be normal or above normal in the north of the North Island, normal or below normal in the east of the South Island, and near normal elsewhere.

Tropical cyclone activity is likely to be near- or above-normal for the rest of this season (through to May).

See our full April - June 2011 climate outlook