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Climate Update 113 - November 2008

November

October's climate

Global setting and climate outlook

Feature article

Feature article

Soil moisture deficit (mm)at 9am on 11/11/2008

Soil moisture levels dip on the east coast
Soils in Gisborne, Hawke’s Bay and parts of Canterbury and Otago are drier than normal (at the time of publication). As shown in the accompanying figures, the modelled soil moisture deficit (red curve) at Napier Airport and Rangiora reached 50% depletion of available water (75 mm deficit) by early or mid October, which is 2-3 weeks earlier than normal. This is likely to have slowed pasture production and increased demand for irrigation earlier than is usual for spring.

October's climate

New Zealand climate in October

Rainfall (click to enlarge).

Temperature (click to enlarge).

Apart from one major storm, October weather was generally more settled than usual, a product of frequent anticyclonic conditions in the Tasman Sea. Stronger than normal westerly to southwesterly winds over the country resulted in low rainfalls in the east.

November

A monthly newsletter from the National Climate Centre.
November 2008 – Number 113
October climate – mostly settled and sunny,with cool conditions in the west and south of the South Island. Lower rainfalls than normal in the east of the country. River flows lower than normal over much of the South Island.
Outlook for November to January – Above average temperatures are likely in most places, apart from average temperatures in Canterbury and coastal Otago. Rainfall is likely to be normal or below normal everywhere.

Global setting and climate outlook

Global setting and climate outlook
El Niño-Southern Oscillation remains neutral

Difference from average global SST (click to enlarge).

Monthly SOI values (click to enlarge).

Pacific Trade Winds about and west of the Date Line were enhanced in October, and the Southern Oscillation Index was high. In spite of these La Niña-like characteristics of the Tropical Pacific atmosphere, ENSO remained in neutral phase during the month, and is very likely to continue in this state through summer.

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