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December

An overview of the present climate in the tropical South Pacific Islands, with an outlook for the coming months, to assist in dissemination of climate information in the Pacific region.

Number 75 – December 2006

November’s climate

  • ‘Yani’, the second tropical cyclone of the season
  • Moderate El Niño persists in the Pacific
  • Enhanced convection persists west of the Date Line, suppressed convection between the Northern Cook Islands and the Pitcairn Island
  • Warmer than normal in parts of Fiji and New Caledonia, cooler in parts of southern French Polynesia

El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and seasonal rainfall forecasts

  • El Niño state expected to continue into early 2007
  • Below average rainfall likely for New Caledonia and Fiji
  • Above average rainfall forecast for Western and Eastern Kiribati, Tuvalu, and Tokelau

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