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October

An overview of the present climate in the tropical South Pacific Islands, with an outlook for the coming months, to assist in dissemination of climate information in the Pacific region.

Number 73 – October 2006

September’s climate

  • South Pacific Convergence Zone (SPCZ) near its normal location
  • Exceptionally high rainfall in the Tuamotu Islands, and wet in parts of Tonga and Samoa
  • Below average rainfall in parts of New Caledonia
  • Temperature: Below average in parts of New Caledonia, and the Southern Cook Islands

El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and seasonal rainfall forecasts

  • Current tropical Pacific climate patterns are consistent with El Niño conditions
  • Above average rainfall expected over Western and Eastern Kiribati and Tuvalu
  • Below average rainfall likely over New Caledonia

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