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October

An overview of the present climate in the tropical South Pacific Islands, with an outlook for the coming months, to assist in dissemination of climate information in the Pacific region.

Number 61 – September 2005

September’s climate

  • Large areas of enhanced convection affected the northwest Pacific, extending south towards Papua New Guinea and the Solomon Islands
  • Suppressed convection existed over the region between Vanuatu and Eastern Kiribati, including Tuvalu and the Northern Cook Islands
  • Above average rainfall in Niue, parts of Fiji, Tonga, and the Society Islands of French Polynesia
  • Below average rainfall in the Austral Islands of French Polynesia, and much of New Caledonia
  • Above average temperatures throughout much of the Southwest Pacific

El Niño/Southern Oscillation and seasonal rainfall forecasts

  • Neutral El Niño/Southern Oscillation to continue in the equatorial Pacific
  • Below average rainfall likely over Eastern Kiribati
  • Near or below average rainfall over Western Kiribati and Tuvalu
  • Near or above average rainfall likely in Papua New Guinea, the Solomon Islands, Samoa, Niue, the Cook Islands, and the Central French Polynesia.

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