July

An overview of the present climate in the tropical South Pacific Islands, with an outlook for the coming months, to assist in dissemination of climate information in the Pacific region.

Number 58 – July 2005

June's climate: South Pacific Convergence Zone rather weak. Above average rainfall in parts of Fiji, the Wallis and Futuna Islands, Tonga, and American Samoa. Below average rainfall in parts of Western Kiribati, New Caledonia, and northern and central French Polynesia, Niue, Tuvalu, and Vanuatu. Above average temperatures in Western Kiribati, Tuvalu and the Marquesas Islands; below average in parts of Fiji and the Austral Islands.

ENSO and sea surface temperatures (SST): Neutral El Niño conditions in the tropical Pacific. Suppressed convection expected over Fiji, Tuamotu Islands, and Pitcairn Island. Near or above average rainfall likely in Western Kiribati, Solomon Islands, Tuvalu, Tokelau, Northern Cook Islands, and the Marquesas Islands.

Forecast validation: How well are we doing with our predictions?

Tropical rainfall outlook: July to September 2005.

Feature article: Adaptation behaviour before to the 2004/05 tropical cyclone season in the Cook Islands

Tropical Pacific rainfall: June 2005.

Sources of South Pacific rainfall data.

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