ICU Water Watch

Based on rainfall anomaly classification over the past six months and forecast rainfall anomaly classification over the next 3 months.

New Caledonia, Vanuatu: Below to well below normal rainfall experienced over 5 of the past 6 months. Below normal rainfall is forecast over the next 3 months.

Fiji, Tonga, Southern Cook Islands: Below to well below normal rainfall experienced over 4 of the past 6 months. Below normal rainfall is forecast over the next 3 months for Fiji and Tonga while normal or below normal rainfall over the next 3 month is forecast for the Southern Cook Islands.

Niue, Federated States of Micronesia, Wallis & Futuna: Below to well below normal rainfall experienced over 3 of the past 6 months. Below normal rainfall is forecast over the next 3 months.

Papua New Guinea, Solomon Islands: Below to well below normal rainfall experienced over 4 of the past 6 months. Below normal rainfall is forecast over the next 3 months for the Solomon Islands while normal or below normal rainfall is forecast for Papua New Guinea over the next 3 months.

IMPORTANT NOTE

This advisory is prepared from the Island Climate Update bulletin produced by NIWA in association with the Pacific Island Meteorological Services and other supporting meteorological organisations. It is made possible with financial support from the New Zealand Ministry for Foreign Affairs and Trade Aid Programme, with additional support from the Secretariat for the Pacific Regional Environmental Programme (SPREP).

February to April 2016 rainfall forecast
Regional drought potential advisory. Based on rainfall anomaly classification over the past six months and forecast rainfall anomaly classification over the next 3 months.