Island Climate Update 184 - January 2016
25 January 2016
The ensemble of global climate models for rainfall that are used in METPI show an area of higher than normal rainfall associated with the SPCZ position.
The dynamical models are all in agreement to forecast continuing strong El Niño conditions for the January – March 2016 period.
Based on rainfall anomaly classification over the past six months and forecast rainfall anomaly classification over the next 3 months.