Island Climate Update 182 - November 2015
9 November 2015
Strong El Niño conditions continued in October 2015. Sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the central and eastern Pacific have increased since September and are close to or exceed +2.5°C in places.
The ensemble of global climate models for rainfall that are used in METPI show an area of higher than normal rainfall associated with the SPCZ position.
The dynamical models are all in agreement to forecast continuing strong El Niño conditions for the November 2015 – January 2016 period.
Based on rainfall anomaly classification over the past six months and forecast rainfall anomaly classification over the next 3 months.