Island Climate Update 167 - August 2014
7 August 2014
An overview of the present climate in the tropical South Pacific Islands, with an outlook for the coming months, to assist in dissemination of climate information in the Pacific region.
Download ICU 167 (PDF 306 KB)
El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
The equatorial Pacific Ocean remains ENSO-neutral at the end of July 2014, with atmospheric and oceanic conditions failing to sufficiently couple and thereby initiate an El Niño event.
South Pacific Convergence Zone forecast August to October 2014
For August – October 2014, the South Pacific Convergence Zone is forecast to sit close to normal for the time of year. The models indicate a well-defined SPCZ to the west of the International Dateline.
Tropical rainfall and SST outlook: August to October 2014
The dynamical forecast models continue to predict drier than normal conditions in large regions of the Pacific south of the Equator for August – October 2014.