7 March 2014
An overview of the present climate in the tropical South Pacific Islands, with an outlook for the coming months, to assist in dissemination of climate information in the Pacific region.
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El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
The tropical Pacific Ocean remained in a neutral state (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in February 2014.
South Pacific Convergence Zone forecast March to May 2014
The ensemble of global climate models for rainfall that are used in METPI show an area of higher than normal rainfall associated with the SPCZ position.
Tropical rainfall and SST outlook: March to May 2014
The dynamical models indicate drier conditions than normal for the March to May 2014 period in the eastern equatorial and south Pacific.