Introduction
El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
- The Pacific remains in a neutral ENSO state.
Island Climate Update 157 - October 2013
4 October 2013
An overview of the present climate in the tropical South Pacific Islands, with an outlook for the coming months, to assist in dissemination of climate information in the Pacific region.
Download ICU 157 as a PDF (744 kB)
El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
The tropical Pacific remained in a neutral state (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in September 2013.
South Pacific Convergence Zone forecast October to December 2013
The ensemble of global climate models for rainfall that are used in METPI show an area of higher than normal rainfall associated with the SPCZ position.
Tropical rainfall and SST outlook: October to December 2013
The dynamical models indicate slightly drier conditions than normal in the far eastern Pacific south of the Equator, while the October to December period is forecast to be slightly wetter than normal in the western and central Pacific south of the Equator.
Data Sources
Sources of South Pacific rainfall data