Introduction
El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
- The ocean remains slightly cooler than average in the eastern equatorial Pacific, but close to normal elsewhere along the Equator.
Island Climate Update 154 - July 2013
28 June 2013
An overview of the present climate in the tropical South Pacific Islands, with an outlook for the coming months, to assist in dissemination of climate information in the Pacific region.
El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
The tropical Pacific remained in a neutral state (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in June 2013, despite a pattern reminiscent of weak La Niña conditions in the eastern Pacific.
South Pacific Convergence Zone forecast July to September 2013
The ensemble of global climate models for rainfall that are used in METPI show an area of higher than normal rainfall associated with the SPCZ position.
Tropical rainfall and SST outlook: July to September 2013
The dynamical models indicate slightly drier conditions than normal in the eastern Pacific along the Equator, while a slightly wetter than normal season is forecast for some Islands groups in the western and central Pacific.
Data Sources
Sources of South Pacific rainfall data