Introduction
El Niño / Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
- The Tropical Pacific Ocean continues to edge towards El Niño, but the atmospheric circulation has yet to show anomaly patterns typical of El Niño.
An overview of the present climate in the tropical South Pacific Islands, with an outlook for the coming months, to assist in dissemination of climate information in the Pacific region
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Borderline El Niño conditions still exist at present in the tropical Pacific. A noticeable change from July to August is the westward movement of the strongest positive sea surface temperature anomalies towards the central Pacific.
The ensemble of global climate models for rainfall that are used in METPI show an area of higher than normal rainfall associated with the SPCZ position.
The tropical Pacific continues to edge towards El Niño, but the atmosphere is still not showing patterns typical of El Niño.
Sources of South Pacific rainfall data