An overview of the present climate in the tropical South Pacific Islands, with an outlook for the coming months, to assist in dissemination of climate information in the Pacific region.
El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
A mature La Niña is in place in the tropical Pacific, and is likely to ease to neutral during autumn 2012.
Normal or below normal tropical cyclone (TC) activity is likely for most islands in the southwest Pacific during the remainder of the 2011 – 2012 season.
A Nina pattern is still expected in the ensemble of global climate forecasts over the forecast period, even though there are indications that a transition to neutral conditions might occur by mid–autumn.
Sources of South Pacific rainfall data
