Retrospective - May to July Outlook

Science Centres: Climate

The climate we predicted and what actually happened. 

Predicted rainfall: Seasonal rainfall is likely to be normal or above normal in the north and east of the North Island, near normal in the southwest North Island and northern South Island, and normal or below normal over the rest of the South Island.

Outcome: Above normal rainfall fell south of the Auckland Region, parts of the Waikato Region, the Bay of Plenty, north and east of the Gisborne Region, the Taranaki Region, coastal Manawatu, the top of the South Island, parts of the Westcoast Region, central Otago and south of the Southland Region. Below normal rainfall fell in south of the Hawkes Bay Region, eastern Manawatu, east and south of the Wellington Region, most of the Canterbury Region and west of the Southland Region. Normal rainfall fell elsewhere.

Predicted air temperature: Temperatures are likely to be above average across all the North Island and in Buller/Nelson/Marlborough, and average or above average over the rest of the South Island.

Outcome: Most parts of New Zealand experienced above average temperatures apart from small parts of the Northland Region, east of the Wellington Region, west of the Southland Region and Stewart Island where normal temperatures were recorded.