Outlook - October to December 2009
Science Centres: Climate
Over the coming three months, mean sea level pressures are likely to be lower than normal in the New Zealand region. Temperatures are expected to be near average over the North Island and northern South Island, and average or below average over the rest of the South Island. Rainfall is likely to be normal or below normal in the western South Island, and near normal elsewhere.
Temperatures are expected to be near average over the North Island and, average or below average over the South Island.
Rainfall is likely to be near normal in all regions.
Normal or below normal streamflows are likely in the southeast North Island and normal soil moisture levels and streamflows are likely elsewhere.
In this example below, the climate models suggest that below normal conditions are likely (50% chance), but, given the variable nature of the climate, the chance of normal or above normal conditions is also shown (30% and 20% respectively).