Climate Update 112 - October 2008

Science Centres: Climate

October

September's climate

Global setting and climate outlook

Feature article

Maps: James Sturman and Margaret Gene NIWA Climate Change Maps NIWA’s National Climate Centre has produced a set of five A1-size maps displaying some of our new climate change projections for New Zealand. The maps present a ‘middle-of-the-road’ picture of the future.
New Zealand climate in September Rainfall (click to enlarge). Temperature (click to enlarge). Rainfall in September was below normal for many areas, particularly in parts of Northland, Auckland, Waikato, Coromandel, and the east coast of the North Island, but 150% or more above normal in parts of the South Island. September temperatures were more than 1.5 °C above their normal values in South Canterbury and Central Otago, and above normal in many other places.
A monthly newsletter from the National Climate Centre. October 2008 – Number 112 September climate – below normal rain in the north and east, but wet in the north and south of the South Island. Temperatures mostly above normal. Outlook for October to December – Average or above average temperatures; lower than normal rainfall in the southwest of the North Island, and north of the South Island.
Global setting and climate outlook El Niño-Southern Oscillation remains neutral despite positive SOI Difference from average global SST (click to enlarge). Monthly SOI values (click to enlarge). Neutral ENSO conditions in the tropical equatorial Pacific are now well established, although lingering effects of La Niña persist. The Southern Oscillation Index remains positive, having strengthened somewhat during September to +1.4 with the three-month mean at +0.8. The positive sea surface temperature anomalies in the eastern Pacific reduced during the month.