Island Climate Update 94 - July 2008

Science Centres: Pacific Rim

July

Monthly climate

Tropical Pacific rainfall

Three-month outlook

Feature article

Data sources

Southwest Pacific Tropical Cyclone frequencies, 1977 – 2008. Damage to a banana plantation in Vanuatu from tropical cyclone Funa. (Photo: David Gibson, Vanuatu Meteorological Service) Tropical Cyclones in the Southwest Pacific Basin 2007-08 Jim Salinger, Jim Renwick, and Andrew Lorrey, NIWA Southwest Pacific tropical cyclones in 2007–08 The 2007–08 Southwest Pacific tropical cyclone (TC) season had five occurrences east of 150°E, two less than the seasonal average (1976–77 to 2006–07).
An overview of the present climate in the tropical South Pacific Islands, with an outlook for the coming months, to assist in dissemination of climate information in the Pacific region. Number 94 – July 2008 June’s climate The South Pacific Convergence Zone (SPCZ) extended from Papua New Guinea, over northern Vanuatu, across Niue to the Austral Islands, and was displaced southwest of normal. Very suppressed convection from Western Kiribati to Eastern Kiribati and about the Equator weakened. Below normal rainfall for the northern part of French Polynesia, New Caledonia, and in part
Climate developments in June 2008 Outgoing Long-wave Radiation anomalies for June 2008. (Click for enlargement and detail) The South Pacific Convergence Zone (SPCZ) extended southeast from Papua New Guinea to Fiji and Niue and across to the Southern Cook Islands and Austral Islands, with an overall displaced position southwest of normal. A region of suppressed convection that was persistent along the Equator during the austral spring and summer has contracted, but still extends from Western Kiribati to Eastern Kiribati including Tuvalu, Tokelau, and the Northern Cook Islands.
Tropical rainfall outlook: July to September 2008 Rainfall outlook map for July to September 2008. (Click for enlargement) La Niña conditions have dissipated, but residual effects are still likely to have an influence on rainfall patterns during the July–September 2008 forecast period. A large region of suppressed convection is very likely in the southwest Pacific encompassing the Northern Cook Islands, Tuamotu, the Society Islands, the Austral Islands, and the Marquesas.
Tropical Pacific rainfall - June 2008 Territory and station name June 2008 rainfall total (mm) June 2008 percent of average Australia Cairns Airport 19 39 Townsville Airport 1 4 Brisbane Airport 122 172 Sydney Airport 127 101 Cook Islands Penrhyn 22 15 Aitutaki 64 68 Rarotonga Airport 35 31 Fiji Rotuma Island 374 163 Udu Point 341 294 Nadi Airport 50 77 Nausori 362 240 French Polynesia Hiva Hoa, Atuona 101 58 Bora Bora 70 76 Tahiti – Faa’a 123 193 Tuamotu, Takaroa 82 91 Gambier, Rikitea 136 84 Tubuai 92 79 Rapa 161 80
Sources of South Pacific rainfall data This bulletin is a multi-national project with important collaboration from the following Pacific nations: American Samoa Australia Cook Islands Fiji French Polynesia Kiribati New Caledonia New Zealand Niue Papua New Guinea Pitcairn Island Samoa Solomon Islands Tokelau Tonga Tuvalu Vanuatu Requests for Pacific island climate data should be directed to the Meteorological Services concerned. Acknowledgements This bulletin is produced by NIWA and made possible with financial support from the New Zealand Agency for International Development (NZAID), with addi