Introuction
Borderline El Niño conditions persisted in the Pacific during October
Island Climate Update 170 - November 2014
11 November 2014
An overview of the present climate in the tropical South Pacific Islands, with an outlook for the coming months, to assist in dissemination of climate information in the Pacific region.
Download ICU 170 (PDF 315 KB)
Download ICU Water Watch (PDF 442 KB)
El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
Equatorial sea surface temperatures (SSTs) rose slightly across the equatorial Pacific ocean, but there is still no gradient in the SST anomalies
South Pacific Convergence Zone forecast November 2014 to January 2015
The ensemble of global climate models for rainfall that are used in METPI show an area of higher than normal rainfall associated with the SPCZ position.
Tropical rainfall and SST outlook: November 2014 to January 2015
The dynamical models forecasts indicate that the western equatorial Pacific as well as parts of the Maritime Continent are likely to experience normal or above-normal rainfall for the November 2014 - January 2015 season as a whole.
ICU Water Watch
Based on rainfall anomaly classification over the past three months and forecast rainfall anomaly classification over the next 3 months.
Data sources
Sources of South Pacific rainfall data