Island Climate Update 104 - May 2009

Science Centres: Pacific Rim

May

Monthly climate

Tropical Pacific rainfall

Three-month outlook

Data sources

May

An overview of the present climate in the tropical South Pacific Islands, with an outlook for the coming months, to assist in dissemination of climate information in the Pacific region. Number 104 – May 2009 April’s climate The South Pacific Convergence Zone (SPCZ) shifted in April, with only the eastern end positioned southwest of normal. Very suppressed convection near Western Kiribati and south of the Equator extending east through Nauru and Eastern Kiribati. Mostly well above normal rainfall for Tuvalu and Niue. El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO), seasonal rainfall
Climate developments in April 2009 Outgoing Long-wave Radiation anomalies for April 2009. (Click for enlargement and detail) The South Pacific Convergence Zone (SPCZ) shifted east during April, with the northwestern part of the convective spur moving northeast of normal. However the southeastern portion of the SPCZ remained displaced southwest of its normal position for the month, contributing to high rainfall in the Austral Islands. A region of enhanced rainfall, partly due to intensified convection, was also observed in the north Tasman Sea and near New Caledonia last month.
Tropical rainfall and SST outlook: May to July 2009 Rainfall outlook map for May to July 2009. Sea surface temperature outlook map for May to July 2009. During May – July 2009, a region of suppressed convection is likely in the southwest Pacific encompassing Tokelau, Tuvalu, and the Northern Cook Islands, with below average rainfall expected for those areas. Near to below average rainfall is expected for Eastern Kiribati and the Marquesas. Near normal rainfall is forecast for Pitcairn Island and Samoa.
Tropical Pacific rainfall - April 2009 Territory and station name April 2009 rainfall total (mm) April 2009 percent of average Australia Cairns Airport 134 71 Townsville Airport 51 82 Brisbane Airport 60 67 Sydney Airport 153 156 Cook Islands Penrhyn N/A N/A Aitutaki N/A N/A Rarotonga Airport 199 94 Fiji Rotuma Island 277 94 Udu Point 216 78 Nadi Airport 73 46 Nausori 157 44 French Polynesia Hiva Hoa, Atuona 211 121 Bora Bora 99 54 Tahiti – Faa’a 31 27 Tuamotu, Takaroa 81 68 Gambier, Rikitea 72 48 Tubuai 187 103 Rapa 61
Sources of South Pacific rainfall data This bulletin is a multi-national project with important collaboration from the following Pacific nations: American Samoa Australia Cook Islands Fiji French Polynesia Kiribati New Caledonia New Zealand Niue Papua New Guinea Pitcairn Island Samoa Solomon Islands Tokelau Tonga Tuvalu Vanuatu Requests for Pacific island climate data should be directed to the Meteorological Services concerned. Your comments and ideas about the Island Climate Update are welcome.